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The primary dependent variable is the number of times that participants select Republicans Win Seats or Republicans Lose seats (possible range: 0-12). We will run a pooled-variances, independent-samples *t*-test as our replication model. This will be done with the following code: T-TEST GROUPS=confirmatory(0 1) /MISSING=ANALYSIS /VARIABLES=finalpredict /CRITERIA=CI(.95). As a supplementary analysis, as the data represents count data, we will test the model using a *poisson* regression using the following code: poisson finalpredict i.confirmatory, vce(robust)
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