No evidence that an Ebola outbreak influenced voting preferences in the 2014 elections after controlling for time-series autocorrelation: a commentary on Beall, Hofer, and Schaller (2016)

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In a recent paper, Beall, Hofer, and Schaller (2016) used observational time series data to test the hypothesis that the 2014 Ebola outbreak influenced the 2014 U.S. Federal Elections. They found substantial associations between online search volume for Ebola and people’s tendency to vote Republican, an effect observed primarily in states with norms favoring Republican candidates. However, the ana...

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