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We are five undergraduate students at Brigham Young University-Idaho under the supervision of Dr. Brady Wiggins. This is a replication of Tentori, Crupi, and Russo's (2013) study #3 concerning the determinants of the conjunction fallacy which was conducted at a university in Italy. This research was conducted to further understand the conjunction fallacy which can be defined as an assumption that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one. This is combined with the idea that higher perceived probability of the conjunction increases confirmation rates or the number of people who follow their own preconceived notion. The researchers of the original study hypothesized that there must be an inductive confirmation for the conjunction in order for the conjunction fallacy to occur. The confirmation fallacy can be determined by the representativeness framework (The representativeness framework relies on the statistical probability of the conjunct within the given population). Tentori et al., (2013) conducted four research experiments in order to judge probability verses the confirmation of an added conjunction that were manipulated systematically. In the third experiment the authors brought subjects into a room and provided participants with different scenarios in order to understand the conjunction fallacy and confirmation rates. These scenarios included an athlete scenario, surgeon scenario, and Swiss person scenario as provided in Appendix C of the [original article][1]. These researchers found a positive result in that a confirmation-theoretic account of the fallacy against other competing views and specific conditions were more probable than a single, generalized one. Our research group will be replicating the third experiment. However, unlike the original researchers, we will be conducting this as an online study rather than using an in-person methodology. While this is a departure from the original study we do not anticipate this being a confounding variable that will distort results. We will also be including an additional variable to measure cultural differences in regards to the conjunction fallacy. The original experiment was conducted in Italy in which the third experiment makes reference to Swiss and Skiing. We are including an additional question regarding Canadians and hockey. The reason for this additional variable is because Americans are more likely to associate Canadians with hockey than with Swiss and skiing. References Tentori, K., Crupi, V., & Russo, S. (2013). On the determinants of the conjunction fallacy: Probability versus inductive confirmation. Journal of Experimental Psychology (General), 142(1), 235-255. doi:10.1037/a0028770 [1]: https://mfr.osf.io/render?url=https://osf.io/zs8n3/?action=download&mode=render
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