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Affiliated institutions: University of Maryland

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Description: Using data on marital events from the American Community Survey, I calculate multiple-decrement life table estimates of the probability of divorce before widowhood.

License: CC-By Attribution 4.0 International

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This method of estimating period divorce rates, which I got from this old Sam Preston paper (https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/004912417500300405), combines mortality rates and death rates to project how many people are lucky enough to die before divorcing at current rates. (Hence “multiple-decrement,” the demographers’ dry way of saying, “there are only two ways out of this.”) When he …

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Code for exporting age-specific rates


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Multiple-decrement life table calculations


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Bloomberg article reporting results

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-17/boomers-are-making-sure-the-divorces-keep-coming

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2017 ACS update


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2021 update


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