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Category: Project

Description: I fit non-parametric spatial models to a novel set of survey data on the 2016 election (N=8,000). I find two underlying dimensions: "race/identity" and "trade-plus." Attitudes toward Muslim immigration and transgender people emerge as the clearest divides between Trump and Clinton voters. Trade is nearly orthogonal to "race/identity" and cleaves both candidates' blocs. Attitudes toward redistributive policies split both parties, depending on the question asked. Supporters of Republican and Democratic candidates reflect distinct positions on "race/identity" (except those of Kasich). Sanders supporters are at least as liberal as Clinton supporters on "race/identity." They are slightly to the left of all others on "trade-plus." Those Sanders voters who voted for Trump are more conservative on "race/identity" and slightly more liberal on "trade-plus."