A comparison of different methods to predict the 2020 United States presidential election

Henrik Olsson; Wandi Bruine de Bruin; Mirta Galesic; Drazen Prelec

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A comparison of different methods to predict the 2020 United States presidential election

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Description: In this preregistration we provide predictions for the 2020 United States presidential election derived from respondents’ answers to poll questions. Our aim is to compare different methods to predict elections within a single poll.

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Has supplemental materials for Combining survey questions with a Bayesian bootstrap method improves election forecasts on OSF Preprints

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