Competing to be certain (but wrong): Radzevick and Moore (2011) MFO

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This paper appears in print: Radzevick, J. R., & Moore, D. A. (2011). Competing to be certain (but wrong): Market dynamics and excessive confidence in judgment. Management Science, 57, 93-106. Abstract: In this paper, we investigate how market competition contributes to the expression of overconfidence among those competing for influence. We find evidence that market competition exacerbates th...

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